Crane Co (CR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 was a clean beat on both EPS and revenue: adjusted EPS $1.39 vs S&P Global consensus $1.31*, and revenue $557.6M vs $547.9M*; GAAP EPS was $1.34. Management reaffirmed FY25 adjusted EPS guidance of $5.30–$5.60 despite tariff and macro uncertainty, citing solid demand and pricing/productivity offsets . S&P Global estimates used for consensus.
- Aerospace & Electronics (A&E) led with 10% sales growth, record 26.0% adjusted segment margin (+360 bps YoY), and record $960M backlog; Process Flow Technologies (PFT) grew 9% with 20.9% adjusted margin and 35% core operating leverage .
- Orders/backlog trajectories remain constructive: core orders +15.6% and core backlog +12.1% YoY; total backlog rose to $1.35B (+9% QoQ), providing visibility, including multiyear defense orders benefitting 2026 .
- Key swing factors: potential tariff impact (gross ~$60M) expected to be substantially mitigated by ~3% price and productivity; management guided Q2 EPS “slightly down” sequentially, with 1H/2H more evenly weighted for the year .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- A&E outperformance with record profitability and strong aftermarket: A&E adjusted operating margin hit 26.0% (+360 bps YoY), with aftermarket up ~20% and OEM up ~6% (commercial +10%, military +1%) .
- Broad-based demand and visibility: core orders +16% and core backlog +12% YoY, with defense multiyear awards and Boeing/Airbus/COMAC build support; total backlog reached $1.35B .
- Pricing/productivity offsetting costs: company delivered ~7.5% core sales growth and 18% adjusted operating profit growth; price expected to contribute ~3% in FY25, more weighted to PFT, helping offset tariffs .
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What Went Wrong
- Tariff and macro uncertainty: management flagged gross tariff headwind of ~$60M (in-year COGS) if sustained, offset “substantially” by price/productivity; outlook reaffirmed but upside seen as more macro-dependent .
- PFT project timing and regional softness: chemical projects in the Americas could “shift to the right” amid tariff uncertainty; Europe and China were softer, even as the Middle East/Américas remained constructive .
- Seasonal cash usage: free cash flow was negative ($60.4M) in Q1 on normal seasonality; adjusted FCF was -$58.2M .
Financial Results
Headline results vs estimates and prior quarters
Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown
KPIs and balance sheet
Non-GAAP note: Adjusted EPS (+$0.05 in Q1) excludes transaction-related expenses, repositioning charges, and pension non-service costs (with associated tax effects) per company reconciliations .
Guidance Changes
Management added that Q2 earnings should be “slightly down” sequentially, with the full year more equally weighted between 1H and 2H .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Max Mitchell: “We delivered a very strong start to 2025… 24.1% adjusted EPS growth driven by 7.5% core sales growth and strong operating leverage… demand trends… solid… with 15.6% YoY core order growth and 12.1% YoY core backlog growth” .
- COO Alex Alcala on tariffs: “About 7%–8% of COGS are direct imports… total China exposure well below 3% of Crane’s total cost of goods… we expect to offset the majority of the potential tariff impact through price and productivity” .
- CFO Rich Maue: “Adjusted operating profit increased 18%… A&E adjusted segment margin of 26%, a record high… we are in a net cash position and have more than $1.5B in debt capacity today for M&A” .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs and pricing: gross in-year COGS impact around ~$60M if sustained; company expects to substantially mitigate via ~3% pricing and productivity (pricing skewed to PFT) .
- A&E profitability sustainability: Q1 benefited from strong mix and engineering program completions; no fundamental weakening expected, though comps moderate; A&E growth split ~50/50 price vs volume .
- Demand cadence: Q2 expected “slightly down” vs Q1; full year more equally weighted 1H/2H .
- PFT end-markets: Americas/Middle East constructive; Europe and China softer; some chemical projects likely shift right due to uncertainty .
- Backlog quality: multiyear defense orders add 2026 visibility; commercial build rates across Boeing/Airbus/COMAC supportive .
Estimates Context
- Beat vs S&P Global consensus: Q1 2025 adjusted EPS $1.39 vs $1.305*; revenue $557.6M vs $547.9M*. Number of covering estimates: 6 for EPS and 6 for revenue*. Company cited confidence to reaffirm FY25 EPS guidance despite macro/tariff uncertainty .
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Implication: Street likely lifts A&E margin trajectory and backlog-driven visibility; modest risk of trimming PFT near-term project assumptions in chemicals (timing) and smoothing quarterly cadence per management’s “slightly down” Q2 comment .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clear beat on EPS/revenue with record A&E margin and record A&E backlog; order momentum supports multi-quarter visibility .
- Guidance intact at $5.30–$5.60 FY25 despite tariff/macro—execution confidence plus pricing/productivity offsets; watch for tariff developments and potential easing as upside .
- Near-term cadence: management flagged Q2 slightly down sequentially; expect a more balanced 1H/2H; trading setups should account for quarterly normalization .
- PFT resilient but mixed: strong cryogenics/water/wastewater offset by chemical project timing and Europe/China softness; monitor orders mix and price-cost .
- Aftermarket still a tailwind (16th straight quarter of double-digit growth) but growth rate likely moderates on comps; nonetheless, aging fleet supports durable demand .
- M&A optionality meaningful (≥$1.5B capacity) with active pipeline in both segments—potential catalysts through 2025 .
- Balance sheet strength (cash $435M; debt $247M) supports organic/inorganic investment and dividend continuity ($0.23 declared for Q2) .
Note: Where consensus figures are shown with an asterisk (*), values are retrieved from S&P Global.
Citations: Press release Q1 2025 ; Earnings call transcript Q1 2025 ; Q4 2024 press release ; Q3 2024 press release .